the tower of babel

Olà,

watching https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=446zJBtYz10 .

What does the tower of babel stand for? Did the ancients restrict progress by separation? Have they been afraid of progress as we’re now of digitalization in a global context? Or did they document their struggle of progress by existing language-separation? Or their fear of the foreign others on the same tower/planet? Was it only a god’ly pleasure to restrict humanity from overachieving?

To me the tower of babel shows more joint interests than separating talks. Like today, many of us seek for leaders of separation to cocoon everyone on his ground-floor comfort. Who cares about their foreign next!

All, while humanity has large common issues to resolve and prepare for the next generations:

  • how to survive and personally evolve in reasonable comfort with growing population in a climate changing world?
  • how to keep natural balance?
  • how to sustain economic models of the past? why?
  • how to create sustained new models of society appropriate for these matters?
  • how to pro-act, instead of darwinistic react and adapt when shit hit our faces already?

It is not about separatism and protectionism of nations, it’s about realizing that without such humanity could scratch the doorsteps of God and develop a pro-active responsibility concept of social development.

But we struggle again, much like 100 years ago, like hamsters in a cage, stuck we are.

Bom dia,

@pessoist

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The future

The future

The creative create the future

The smart shape the future

The contributor establishes the future

The consumer defines the cultural value of the future

The managing take over control of the future

Fear leaves you behind the future

The ideal future is with the creators’ minds. 

No future is with the fearful and their dependants. 

All others will benefit from the future. 

Bom dia

@pessoist

tic-tac or art? what’s it worth?

Olà,

a pessimistic expectation of the future is meandering around all media, propelled by polemic and reactive parties, militant groups and countries, nationalism grows and has its first negative results around the globe.

Banks are busy keeping their business secure avoiding any risk, leaving small businesses without the temporary support they need to grow along their customers demand. Together with the zero interest politics of the federal banks, inflation eats everyones hard earned money and only low percentage is available by investing in risky papers.

Dealers, Agents of any kind are already speculating with tangible products and pushing the limits of value of them, watches being one of them.

Watches in focus are of the large brands, ROLEX, Patek Philippe, Breguet, Jaeger LeCoultre, Cartier, IWC, …

But what’s it worth? At the downturn peak of the watch-industry, where large brands are desperately buying back wholesale stocks in Asia and creating steel-based low-end variants of their simpler models or the ones with high interest, but low demand due to its higher investment required for such Gold, Platinum model.

Today watches have no practical use value, many of the seeked models are produced in high 5-6 figure numbers, rarity is a term just not applicable to these industrially produced products. It has only temporary character as to the hype created by the history-telling of individual vintage watches and their owners applied to the whole family of newly high quantity produced variations of these.

Independent Horologists of the AHCI group and others play their game of exclusivity producing tens and hundreds of watches a year at high premium, creating one or more new models a year. This arrogance playing their customers as cash-heavy fools that believe in that spirit of the single watchmaker building their watch is incredible. How do these people think this watchmaker jumping around between many shows, interviews and high-profile customer visits has time to build any more than 5 watches of the same kind a year, rather then inventing one or two new movements and multiple models a year?

These are lower quantity industrial products, too, served by a shadow industry of highly skilled CNC machine Operators and specialists supplying relevant parts, ebauches if not complete “branded” movements to these brands of independents. Sure, they still have very rare few unicorn models, but again, overpriced and not entirely created by THE WATCHMAKER, but an industrial process. Even famed small watchmakers, like Philippe Dufour and Roger Smith do small batch productions – inhouse with a small team, but, it’s just NOT created by a single watchmaker, while his apprentice works on a separate creation.

What remains? What’s the value? Is it an investment?

Rarity is NOT a cashable value. Demand is.

Demand is driven by Hype or Need. There’s no tangible practical need, for some there is a need for status representation, for others a romantic drive. Hype fuels the two later. Rarity is the result of higher Demand than availability and mirrors into price for the watch.

They say buy the watch you love, that inspires you. Well, you’re bombarded by Marketing inspirations until you can hardly differentiate what is what.

They say buy this watch it’ll increase value. Well, actually the hype by the social marketing for higher status ranking continuously supports that guidance and drives you to buy high valued products that have no practical or tangible value.

If you want to invest: Stay cold blooded, analyse the defective market of demand and the faulty ambitions of the customers of the future and chose wisely the product that might be successful in the future, make worst and best case calculations and compare them with other investment models. NO, you won’t wear that watch, it’ll depreciate value by doing so. Don’t get fooled, these products will have to go into a Bank Safe or similar for the next 10, 20, 50 years!

If you want to invest to have stable values in bad times? Don’t get fooled, a watch is worth what people will pay for it in the context of that day you place the offer. Who needs a Rolex in War-time, when you’re begging for food? At best it’s 10 times lower valued as you paid for. You have to stretch yourself with all your valuable belongings into a space that’s much more comfortable giving it the status-value it originally had. By then you flew over oceans, walked continents, miss family members. Still you won’t get your money back. Be lucky with 70%. Sure other brands are valued lower quiet often. The bad times currency is Gold, still, even in times of Bitcoin.

The below approaches do not ensure good investment, any monetary success is occasional at best:

If you love haute horology: Understand what the watchmaker is doing for you, what’s the personal relationship he is building with you.

If you love horology Art: Understand the watchmaker’s artistic biography, inspirations and message and how these relate to your biography. Watch Art never had the prestige of sculptural Art or paintings. So it is a choice about and for you. A means of expression for the Artist and Yourself.

If you love the product, a watch: Well, Your taste matters, your biography and if you can fund it chose what makes You happy, that’s what it is for.

Ergo:

  1. Is it Business? Do your research and make a cold calculated choice
  2. Is it Love? Be sure to make You or Her/Him happy
  3. Is it Status? Work on Your personality instead
  4. Do you fear the Future? Do something against and be positive.
  5. Less is more.
  6. Express more than you consume

bom dia,

pessoist.

 

 

The new Leica is not for you.

Olá,

Leica SL has been launched and it is not for YOU.

  • Placement: Full-Format, between Leica M and Leica S System.
  • Target: Big DSLR freelance still photographers who’re using S-System in Studio
  • Lenses: some AF, some more adapted as MF (M, R, TL, S), Many to be developed, many more adapted
  • Quality: equal to Leica Q sensor (slight improvement to Leica M 240), Heavy-Duty Body and water tight
  • Size: huge, with huge Grip to hold well (not possible with M) the large AF tele-lenses planned and many mid-format S-Type Lenses or old R-type Lenses
  • Top-Feature: Huge resolution EVF, 4K Video 24fps
  • Price: adequate to Target and Placement, Price-complains only come from people who don’t understand what target group is being adressed by Leica.

In my view this is a huge solid ugly bastard (T-like GUI, S-Viewer, S-Display, S-Size, R-Lenses-redevelopment, Q-Sensor, S-Electronics). Ugly? Yes, it misses overall design quality, it’s just “cleaned up”. Consider the title, it’s an SL (L=light) compared to the compact mid-format camera Model S. It allows for a much more dynamic camera activity for S-Users. It’s NOT an upgrade for M or a switch-alternative for Nikon/Canon Pro-Consumer Full-format cameras, like D600, 5D or similar, even less a comparable option to Sony A7, regardless of the bullshit some bloggers write.

If you want a compact full-format camera system and somehow payable camera, take a Sony A7II.

If you want a real Rangefinder – M is it.

If you want a professional System for slightly more compact and dynamic still photography than with your mid-format solution, you buy a SL to the S model you already own.

If you want a compact full-format camera for spray-and-pray photography, take a Canon, Nikon

If you want a prosumer compact camera for great pictures, take an Fuji X (any that fits)

If you want a feature-list in a compact body, take a Sony A7RII or RX1RIII or whatever XIWAZ71R name the just gave their new model.

Here’s one far better and longer read: http://blog.mingthein.com/2015/10/21/premiere-review-2015-leica-sl-601/

The new Leica SL is not a competitor for the compact mirrorless market. This is and will remain the TL-System, based on Leica T and the more conservative Leica M System.

An expected System based on the new Q model might appear between or aside of the T and M, but that’s future talk.

End of next year M will receive a hybrid Rangefinder and probably use the SL sensor, if not a slightly improved one.

boa tarde,

@pessoist

Blackstone pressure bursting Leica

Olà,

My personal experiences with development of sales and marketing strategies, running small operations, and groups within larger global enterprises, working to scale for investors return, lead to the following assessment, with assumptions based on information available to me.

1. this new CEO person worked in top positions in regional markets of global brands. He was NEVER the lead of success, but the local executive lead to success, based on the Global Strategy of others.

2. he has not the slightest competence in marketing this special kind of product to any of the special target groups.

3. Mr. Schopf ‘s strategies “didn’t scale” enough to return the invest of Dr. Kaufman’s dreams, and ensure a planned return to investors.

4. Investors are NOT patient people, NEVER!

5. Investors make WRONG executive decisions, ALWAYS! They are Investors, not CEOs for the invested market. Rarely share the same market. If so, they’d just merge.

6. LEICA will struggle with the new Management, change again, struggle, change again, … We had many of these external management changes destroying big brands. Leica had its share of experience and is just starting again with the same scheme. Stop it very soon, please.

7. Apple, yes, Apple hires the specific people to SCALE new luxury products into new markets, under the “well defined cultural principles” of the Company.

8. I do not see, neither Panasonic, nor Blackstone, where they are now, being capable of evolving Leica to the success the brand deserves.

I’d focus on:

0. Immediately fix CCD problem for all, regain trust! The current solution is only a patch.

1. The classic Brand and a New Generation Brand under Leica

2. Sell the essence and the Fun using a Leica camera, build like no other camera manufacturer can build T

3. Run limited editions, but keep them limited and related to a “Driving” Identifier.

3. b. Whoever likes to have his own a la carte limited edition run for his company, produce them at margin for them, let them make their promotion for these.

4. Renew technology frequently, while keeping “essential” and “fun” principle at highest priority the new generation product (T).

4.b. Allow for big updates.

5. Produce real Leica Glass for all camera systems (m43, X, FE, T, …)

6. Promote the hell on Leica Glass. The Leica Character of BW Glass and of Color Glass.

7. Keep prices honest

8. Do not resell/-label other Camera/Glass – everybody can do.

9. Make Video a key T FUN feature, excellent Video capabilities, compact, complete, characterful

10. Sell in Leica-Stores, only.

11. Shut down Leica Stores without Art-galleries and shop, creative public room like photographers cafe and workshop room, Tech-support, Interim-Replacement, Print, Global Service; i.e. my camera breaks in London, I leave it there for Leica repair, get a pool-cam, fly home, return the pool-cam in Munich and receive my repaired Camera in my Munich Leica-Shop.

12. Create a Leica Owners Group, a real official Leica Owners Group, not Grandpa’s high-nose I’ve been Leitzman 60yrs already, dusty crap philosophy heritage keepers. It’s about fun not historic dust.

13. Run Events, remote free little and big competitions at all levels, beginners, artists, …, locally and online. Every leica shop must run Leica specific Leica Owners events and activities, every month. Little but FUN, local FUN, people connecting people.

14. Engage with the local young artists

15. Engage by flexing the shop atmosphere, it’s so snobby today, you wouldn’t like to walk in without your business suit.

16. Engage not only with Maserati … Owners.

Stop the Yuppy/Hipster orientation, that market will vanish, if not yet started, soon. Catch the honest wealthy-enough hobbyist/fan who could own one Leice, not two, three, twenty.

Bom dia,

@pessoist

log (list of gifts) 2014

Olà

bom dia,

best in 2014

Olà,

here’s a subjective list for the interested…

have fun to vary the above with your experiences.

bom dia,

@pessoist